The script potential of Expendables 4 is 16-20MM in the domestic market

• The script of Expendables 4 will appeal to 0.48-0.58% of the population
• 90% events in Expendables 4 are borrowed from 4 mythological tales

 

The script of Expendables 4 will appeal to 0.48-0.58% of the population

Any story is the quest to fulfil a human desire. We have identified universal quests for every human desire. These universal quests reveal the invisible plot structure of stories. An analysis of Blockbuster, Hit & Flop plots led to the discovery of Mythosis Code. The Code reveals the story principles shared by all Blockbusters. We use the Code to estimate and unlock a story’s Blockbuster potential.

• All Blockbusters have at least 3 universal quests. The Expendables 4 has 4 universal quests of Vengeance, Honour, Preservation and Power.

• In Blockbusters, each universal quest is mirrored by ONLY ONE character. Christmas mirrors two quests of Vengeance & Honour. Rahmat mirrors Preservation & Marsh mirrors Power. Barney has no quest. 

• Every Blockbuster character borrows at least 35% of the universal quest. Christmas’ character borrows 21% of the universal quest of Vengeance & 12% of the quest of Honour. Rahmat’s character borrows 13% of the quest of Preservation. Marsh’s character borrows 7% of the universal quest of Power. 

• Blockbusters interweave different quests to create a tight plot structure. Interweaving occurs when events of 2 quests occur simultaneously in the story. Blockbusters have a quest interweaving threshold of 0.5. The Expendables 4’s quest interweaving score of 0.33 is below par. Only the quests of Christmas & Marsh are interwoven with each other. Here is an example:

 

• Blockbusters have a script score of at least 0.64 whereas Expendables 4’s script score is 0.02. Based on the script score we estimate that the movie will appeal to 0.48-0.58% of the population.

 

The plot structure of Expendables 4 uses 4 universal quests but the lead character mirrors two quests making him inconsistent. None of the character quests have sufficient depth. Moreover, the quests aren’t interwoven which affects the tightness of the plot.

 

90% events in Expendables 4 are borrowed from 4 mythological tales

At Mythosis, we have identified 32 mythological tales. Each mythological tale uniquely represents a human quest to fulfil a desire. These tales are the super set of thousands of tales across cultures. We have codified the events of each mythological tale. Every tale has 5 major arcs. Each arc has a sequence of events. These events culminate into a major event. Here is the mapping of each character’s quest to the major events in their respective mythological tale.

 

Quest 1: Christmas mirrors 21% of Dron’s quest for Vengeance (below threshold of 35%)

Christmas’s desire for Vengeance stems from his need to get even or confront offenders. The tale of Dron from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Vengeance.

Quest 2: Christmas also mirrors 12% of Hanuman’s quest for Honour (below threshold of 35%)

Christmas’s desire for Honour stems from his need to be loyal to a clan/order. The tale of Hanuman from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Honour.

Quest 3: Rahmat mirrors 13% of Kans’ quest for Preservation (below threshold of 35%)

Rahmat’s desire for Preservation stems from his need to survive a threat. The tale of Kans from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Preservation.

Quest 4: Marsh mirrors 7% of Duryodhan’s quest for Power (below threshold of 35%)

Marsh’s desire for Power stems from his need to dominate others. The tale of Duryodhan from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Power.