Script potential of Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes is 80-98MM in the domestic market

 

• The script of Hunger Games: Ballad of... will appeal to 2.01 – 2.45% of the population
• 91% events in Hunger Games: Ballad of... are borrowed from 4 mythological tales

 

The script of Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes will appeal to 2.01 – 2.45% of the population

Any story is the quest to fulfil a human desire. We have identified universal quests for every human desire. These universal quests reveal the invisible plot structure of stories. An analysis of Blockbuster, Hit & Flop plots led to the discovery of Mythosis Code. The Code reveals the story principles shared by all Blockbusters. We use the Code to estimate and unlock a story’s Blockbuster potential.

• All Blockbusters have at least 3 universal quests. Hunger Games: Ballad of... has 4 universal quests of Preservation, Social Contact, Power and Vengeance.

 

• In Blockbusters, each universal quest is mirrored by ONLY ONE character. Lucy Gray mirrors two quests, that of Preservation & Social Contact. Coriolanus mirrors the quest of Power & Gaul mirrors Vengeance. Both Highbottom & Sejanus don’t have a robust quest.

 

• Every Blockbuster character borrows at least 35% of the universal quest. Lucy Gray’s character borrows 25% of the universal quest of Preservation & 11% of the quest of Social Contact. Coriolanus’ character borrows 31% of the quest of Power. Gaul borrows 12% of the universal quest of Vengeance.

 

• Blockbusters interweave different quests to create a tight plot structure. Interweaving occurs when events of 2 quests occur simultaneously in the story. Blockbusters have a quest interweaving threshold of 0.5. Hunger Games: Ballad of... quest interweaving score of 0.33 is below par. Only the quests of Coriolanus & Lucy Gray are interwoven with each other. Here is an example:

 

• Blockbusters have a script score of at least 0.64 whereas Hunger Games: Ballad of... script score is 0.07. Based on the script score we estimate that the movie will appeal to 2.01 – 2.45% of the population.

 

The plot structure of Hunger Games: Ballad of... uses 4 universal quests but Lucy Gray’s character mirrors two quests making her inconsistent. Gaul’s character quest doesn’t have sufficient depth. Moreover, the quests aren’t interwoven which impacts the tightness of the plot.

 

91% events in Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes are borrowed from 4 mythological tales

 

At Mythosis, we have identified 32 mythological tales. Each mythological tale uniquely represents a human quest to fulfil a desire. These tales are the super set of thousands of tales across cultures.

We have codified the events of each mythological tale. Every tale has 5 major arcs. Each arc has a sequence of events. These events culminate into a major event. Here is the mapping of each character’s quest to the major events in their respective mythological tale.

 

Quest 1: Lucy Gray mirrors 25% of Noah’s quest for Preservation (below threshold of 35%)

Lucy Gray’s desire for Preservation stems from the need to survive a threat. The tale of Noah from Abrahamic mythology is the universal quest for Preservation.

Quest 2: Lucy Gray also mirrors 11% of Psyche’s quest for Social Contact (below threshold of 35%)

Lucy Gray’s desire for Social Contact stems from the need for companionship. The tale of Psyche from Greek mythology is the universal quest for Social Contact.

Quest 3: Coriolanus mirrors 33% of Duryodhan’s quest for Power (marginally below threshold)

Coriolanus’ desire for Power stems from the need to dominate others. The tale of Duryodhan from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Power.

Quest 4: Gaul mirrors 12% of Dron’s quest for Vengeance (below threshold of 35%)

Gaul’s desire for Status stems from the need to confront offenders. The tale of Dron from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Vengeance.

 

 

Script of Meg 2 borrows from 4 mythological tales and has a potential of 57-69MM in the domestic market

Meg 2’s script borrows events from the tales of Odysseus, Noah, David & Duryodhan

With a script score of 0.057 the movie will appeal to approximately 2% of the population

Script of Jaws is 30X superior than Meg 2

Character journeys in Meg 2 mirror the tales of Odysseus, Noah, David & Duryodhan

At Mythosis, we have identified 32 mythological tales. Each mythological tale uniquely represents a human quest to fulfil a desire. These tales are the super set of thousands of tales across cultures.

We have codified the events of each mythological tale. Every tale has 5 major arcs. Each arc has a sequence of events. These events culminate into a major event. Here is the mapping of each character’s quest to the major events in their respective mythological tale.

Quest 1: Jiuming mirrors Odysseus’ quest for Tranquillity

Jiuming’s desire for Tranquillity stems from his need to be free from anxiety & fear. The tale of Odysseus from Greek mythology is the universal quest for Tranquillity.

Quest 2: Jonas mirrors Noah’s quest for Preservation

Jonas’s desire for Preservation stems from his need to survive. The tale of Noah from Abrahamic mythology is the universal quest for Preservation.

Quest 3: Jonas mirrors David’s quest for Independence in the latter half

Jonas’s desire for Independence stems from his need for self-reliance & autonomy. The tale of David from Abrahamic mythology is the universal quest for Independence.

Quest 4: Driscoll mirrors Duryodhan’s quest for Power

Driscoll’s desire for Power stems from her need to dominate others. The tale of Duryodhan from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Power.

The tales of Odysseus, Noah David & Duryodhan reveal the plot structure of Meg 2

Any plot is the quest to fulfil a human desire. And stories consist of multiple desire journeys. Hence a story plot consists of multiple desire journeys.

32 mythological tales are the universal quests for every human desire. Thus, we are able to identify every desire journey in the story. And also, its plot structure.

Number of desire journeys: Meg 2 uses 4 mythological tales. Jiuming mirrors Odysseus’ quest for Tranquillity. Jonas mirrors the quests of Noah & also David. Driscoll mirrors Duryodhan’s quest for Power. Montes has a distinct desire but an underdeveloped quest due to insufficient events in his journey.

Depth of desire journeys: Jiuming borrows 26% from Odysseus’ tale whereas Jonas borrows 10% from both Noah's & David's tale. Driscoll borrows 9% from the tale of Duryodhan.

Interweaving of desire journeys: Jiuming’s quest is interwoven with both Jonas & Driscoll. However, the quests of Jonas & Driscoll aren’t interwoven. Interweaving multiple quests creates a cohesive story. Interweaving occurs when events of 2 quests occur simultaneously in the story. Here is an example of interweaving the quests of Jiuming & Driscoll.

Mythosis estimates Meg 2’s box office potential from its plot structure 

We have developed Mythosis Code from the analysis of Blockbuster, Hits & Flops plot structures. Mythosis Code identifies the ideal Blockbuster plot structure for any story. It uses the ideal plot structure to estimate and unlock a story’s Blockbuster potential.

Mythosis Code:

1. All Blockbusters borrow from at least 3 mythological tales
2. Each character mirrors ONLY ONE tale & borrows at least 35% events
3. The mythological tales used must be interwoven with a minimum score of 0.5

Story plot is made up of 4 mythological tales 

Lead character is inconsistent: Jonas mirrors 2 mythological tales of Noah & David. Jiuming & Driscoll mirror ONLY ONE tale

Every character has low depth: All characters borrow less than the threshold 35%. 

Story cohesiveness: Quest interweaving score of 0.67 is above the desired figure of 0.50

Meg 2's script potential score is 0.057. This indicates an audience appeal of 1.61-1.97% of the domestic market population. At current ticket prices the audience appeal translates to USD 57-69MM box office revenues.

Jaws’ script is 30x superior than Meg 2

We have deconstructed both the scripts into events. Subsequently, we used the Mythosis Code to estimate the strength of both the scripts

 
 

 

Blue Beetle's predicted revenue: USD 40-50mn in US & Canada

Blue Beetle’s plot structure score is 0.03. We estimate that the movie will appeal to 0.84-1.02% of the population in the domestic market.

Mythosis extracts the invisible plot structure of scripts

Any story is quest to fulfil a human desire.

We have identified all universal quests for every human desire. We found these universal quests in 32 mythological tales from across cultures.

We have codified the 32 mythological tales to extract plot structures of stories. The analysis of Blockbuster, Hit & Flop plots led to the discovery of "Mythosis Code".

Mythosis Code:
1. All Blockbusters borrow from at least 3 universal quests
2. Each character mirrors ONLY ONE universal quest
3. Characters borrow at least 35% events from their respective quests
4. The quests used must be interwoven with a minimum score of 0.5

Mythosis Code identifies the ideal Blockbuster plot structure for any story. It uses the ideal plot structure to estimate and unlock a story’s Blockbuster potential.

Though Blue Beetle’s plot structure is made up of 4 universal quests only Jamie's character is developed 

Jaime’s journey mirrors the universal quest of Preservation & Tranquility. Jenny & Victoria mirror the universal quests of Idealism & Power. Rudy and Carapax don’t have a substantial quest.

Jaime borrows 36% from his universal quest. However, Jenny & Victoria borrow only 19% & 8% from their respective quests. (Annx 1)

Besides, Blue Beetle’s quest interweaving score is just 0.33 because only Jaime’s quest is interwoven with Victoria’s quest. (Annx 2)

Blue Beetle’s fails on every parameter of the Mythosis Code

Inconsistent character: Jaime’s quest borrows from 2 universal quests of Preservation & Tranquility which impacts character consistency.

Weak characters: Jenny & Victoria borrow far below the threshold of 35%. Low borrowing from universal quest impacts the character depth & complexity. Victoria, the antagonist, is a very weak character in the movie.

Low story cohesiveness: Jenny’s quest isn’t interwoven with both Jamie & Victoria which weakens the story cohesiveness.

Annexure 1: Mapping characters to the universal quests of Odysseus, Noah, Prometheus & Duryodhan

At Mythosis, we have identified universal quests from thousands of mythological tales, fables, legends and literature. The mythological tale representing each universal quest is the super set of thousands of tales across cultures.

Every universal quest has 5 major arcs. A sequence of events culminates into a major event marking the end of the arc. We have mapped each character’s quest to the major events in the universal quest.

Quest 1: Jamie mirrors Noah’s universal quest for Preservation

Jamie’s desire for Preservation stems from his need to eat & survive. The tale of Noah from Abrahamic mythology is the universal quest for Preservation.

20% of Noah’s quest is borrowed by Jaime – below the threshold of 35%

Quest 2: Jamie also mirrors Odysseus' universal quest for Tranquility

Jamie’s desire for Tranquility stems from his need to be free from anxiety & fear. The tale of Odysseus from Greek mythology is the universal quest for Tranquility.

36% of Odysseus’ quest is borrowed by Jaime – Above threshold of 35%

Quest 3: Jenny mirrors Prometheus’ universal quest for Idealism

Jenny’s desire for Idealism is motivated by the need for justice. The tale of Prometheus from Greek mythology is the universal quest for Idealism.

19% of Prometheus’ quest is borrowed by Jenny – below threshold of 35%

Quest 4: Victoria mirrors Duryodhan's universal quest for Power

Victoria’s desire for Power is driven by the need to dominate others. The tale of Duryodha from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Power.

8% of Duryodhan’s quest is borrowed by Victoria – far below threshold of 35%

Annexure 2: Interweaving multiple quests creates fresh stories

Every universal quest is a story in itself. These quests are adaptable to any world and/or setting. However, by combining multiple quests innumerable fresh stories are possible. The story of Blue Beetle attempts to interweave 3 familiar tales of Odysseus, Prometheus & Duryodhan.Combining multiple quests to create a seamless story requires interweaving. Interweaving occurs when similar events of 2 quests occur simultaneously in the story. Jaime’s quest is interwoven with only the quest of Victoria. Jenny’s quest isn’t interwoven with both Jaime & Victoria. Here is an example of interweaving the quests of Jaime & Victoria.