Friday, November 24, 2023

Script potential of Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes is 80-98MM in the domestic market

Hunger Games: Ballad of... poster copyright belongs to Lionsgate

 

        • The script of Hunger Games: Ballad of... will appeal to 2.01 – 2.45% of the population
        • 91% events in Hunger Games: Ballad of... are borrowed from 4 mythological tales

 

The script of Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes will appeal to 2.01 – 2.45% of the population

Any story is the quest to fulfil a human desire. We have identified universal quests for every human desire. These universal quests reveal the invisible plot structure of stories. An analysis of Blockbuster, Hit & Flop plots led to the discovery of Mythosis Code. The Code reveals the story principles shared by all Blockbusters. We use the Code to estimate and unlock a story’s Blockbuster potential.

  • All Blockbusters have at least 3 universal quests. Hunger Games: Ballad of... has 4 universal quests of Preservation, Social Contact, Power and Vengeance.

 

  • In Blockbusters, each universal quest is mirrored by ONLY ONE character. Lucy Gray mirrors two quests, that of Preservation & Social Contact. Coriolanus mirrors the quest of Power & Gaul mirrors Vengeance. Both Highbottom & Sejanus don’t have a robust quest.

 

  • Every Blockbuster character borrows at least 35% of the universal quest. Lucy Gray’s character borrows 25% of the universal quest of Preservation & 11% of the quest of Social Contact. Coriolanus’ character borrows 31% of the quest of Power. Gaul borrows 12% of the universal quest of Vengeance.

 

  • Blockbusters interweave different quests to create a tight plot structure. Interweaving occurs when events of 2 quests occur simultaneously in the story. Blockbusters have a quest interweaving threshold of 0.5. Hunger Games: Ballad of... quest interweaving score of 0.33 is below par. Only the quests of Coriolanus & Lucy Gray are interwoven with each other. Here is an example:

 

Hunger Games: Ballad of... script interweaves the tales of Duryodhan & Noah

  • Blockbusters have a script score of at least 0.64 whereas Hunger Games: Ballad of... script score is 0.07. Based on the script score we estimate that the movie will appeal to 2.01 – 2.45% of the population.

 

The plot structure of Hunger Games: Ballad of... uses 4 universal quests but Lucy Gray’s character mirrors two quests making her inconsistent. Gaul’s character quest doesn’t have sufficient depth. Moreover, the quests aren’t interwoven which impacts the tightness of the plot.

 

91% events in Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes are borrowed from 4 mythological tales

 

At Mythosis, we have identified 32 mythological tales. Each mythological tale uniquely represents a human quest to fulfil a desire. These tales are the super set of thousands of tales across cultures.

We have codified the events of each mythological tale. Every tale has 5 major arcs. Each arc has a sequence of events. These events culminate into a major event. Here is the mapping of each character’s quest to the major events in their respective mythological tale.

 

Quest 1: Lucy Gray mirrors 25% of Noah’s quest for Preservation (below threshold of 35%)

Lucy Gray’s desire for Preservation stems from the need to survive a threat. The tale of Noah from Abrahamic mythology is the universal quest for Preservation.

In Hunger Games: Ballad of..., Lucy Gray borrows from the Abrahamic mythological tale of Noah


Quest 2: Lucy Gray also mirrors 11% of Psyche’s quest for Social Contact (below threshold of 35%)

Lucy Gray’s desire for Social Contact stems from the need for companionship. The tale of Psyche from Greek mythology is the universal quest for Social Contact.

In Hunger Games: Ballad of..., Lucy Gray also borrows from the Greek mythological tale of Psyche


Quest 3: Coriolanus mirrors 33% of Duryodhan’s quest for Power (marginally below threshold)

Coriolanus’ desire for Power stems from the need to dominate others. The tale of Duryodhan from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Power.

In Hunger Games: Ballad of..., Coriolanus borrows from the Hindu mythological tale of Duryodhan


Quest 4: Gaul mirrors 12% of Dron’s quest for Vengeance (below threshold of 35%)

Gaul’s desire for Status stems from the need to confront offenders. The tale of Dron from Hindu mythology is the universal quest for Vengeance.

 

In Hunger Games: Ballad of..., Gaul borrows from the Hindu mythological tale of Dron

 

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Script potential of Wish is 31-37MM in the domestic market

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